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Vitalik:预测市场风险并不高于股市,外界对其担忧被严重夸大

Vitalik:预测市场风险并不高于股市,外界对其担忧被严重夸大

2025-12-25 11:12

ChainThink消息,据 DLnews 消息,以太坊联合创始人 Vitalik Buterin 回应外界对预测市场威胁体育赛事和选举完整性的担忧。他指出,预测市场创造的不当激励在股市早已存在,政治人物可以通过做空股票获利后按下“制造灾难”按钮。他认为应将预测市场与社交媒体比较,后者更易传播恐慌和错误信息,而预测市场能提供有用信息。

Vitalik 表示自己曾多次因新闻标题感到恐慌,但查看 Polymarket 价格后冷静下来,“有经验的人知道真实情况,异常事件发生概率仅 4%”。他以马斯克 2024 年称英国内战不可避免为例,当时 Polymarket 用户给出的概率仅 3%。

#Ethereum# prediction market #Risk Alert#Information Accuracy

Disclaimer: Contains third-party opinions, does not constitute financial advice

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